22:00 - Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners 4-5
- Boston Red Sox @ 1.77
22:05 - New York Yankees vs Oakland Athletics 6-4
- New York Yankees -1.5 @ 1.71
22:05 - Florida Marlins vs San Diego Padres 4-12
- Florida Marlins @ 1.77
22:10 - Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5-2
- Atlanta Braves @ 1.61
50% con -68
Pronóstico Quinigol Jornada 23 | 16/11/2024
5 hours ago
10 comments:
hola j_bender, welcome back!
setec, no es asì facil de decir, pero creo hoy es una jornada buena para los visitantes y que van a ganar mas que los locales.
esto no significa automáticamente un número mayor de run, pero es presumible.
no se la respuesta ciertamente, pero se tengo que decir un consejo te digo visitantes.
No sabìa las cuotas, pero me parece que es una conferma (conferma es italiano, no se como es en espanol) de mi idea.
El -5.5 @ 2.62 me parece muy bueno.
Suerte! (ahora estoy curioso de saber el resultado)
estoy de acuerdo 100%
Manudo burro, 10 runs en un inning, yo que ya veía el partido ganado con el 4-1, qué pena. Y luego Boston también ha pagado muy caro esos 4 runs del principio y no ha pidod remontar.
Bueno Atlanta ha ganado y NYY va 6-4 en el último inning, esperemos que no haya desgracia y logre ese -1.5 que lleva de momento. Sería acertar 2 de 4, jornada en rojo pero bueno las pérdidas serán bajas.
jornada negativa.lástima.boston ha empezado malamente.florida loca.yankees y atlanta sin sorpresas.jornada negativa.lástima.mi error apostar en 4 partidos.número peligroso.
Giants (18-18)
Jeff Fassero, LHP (2.00)
The 42-year-old Fassero became San Francisco's emergency starter this week, when he made his first start of the season on Tuesday against Pittsburgh. He lasted five innings and gave up only one hit and no runs. In his previous relief stint, he surrendered three hits and a run over 3 1/3 innings against Washington. Fassero started 12 times in 40 appearances last year for Colorado.
5/10/2005 FASSERO vs PITTSBURGH 2-5
Astros (13-23)
Brandon Backe (6.05)
In his first start since recovering from a bout with pneumonia and bronchitis on May 10, Backe held the Marlins to one run over six innings, taking a no-decision in the Astros' loss. Backe rebounded from three shaky outings during which he yielded 19 runs. The right-hander has made one appearance vs. the Giants, allowing two runs over an abbreviated 2 1/3-inning start in San Francisco last year.
5/5/2005 BACKE vs ATLANTA 3-9
5/10/2005 BACKE vs FLORIDA 2-6
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-5 against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 against HOUSTON this season.
setec, estoy con tu apuesta.
intento.
voy a apostar SAN FRANCISCO @ 2.2
buenas noches y hasta mañana.
hasta ahora, en el mes de mayo:
- 47 apuestas con cuota media = 1.82
- 25 aciertos con cuota media = 1.79
no se como has calculado, pero estos son los numeros.
Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners 4-5
It had already been a milestone day for Red Sox slugger Manny Ramirez, who stepped to the box with Johnny Damon on second and his team down by a run with two outs in the top of the ninth. So why wouldn't you expect the star slugger to deliver the latest big hit of his highlight-filled career?
Red Sox manager Terry Francona sure thought that's what he was witnessing when Ramirez struck a liner to right that seemed to have game-tying, RBI double written all over it. But Mariners superstar Ichiro Suzuki got his typically terrific jump on the ball and made the play look easy, flagging down the final out of the game and preserving a 5-4 win for the Mariners.
"Suzuki, he's about as close as I've seen to [Andruw Jones]," said Francona. "Off the bat, it's a hit, and all of a sudden it's not even a tough play. I know he's got good speed, but his instincts are incredible."
Incredible enough to prevent the Sox from being able to leave Seattle with a series win. This on a day Ramirez clubbed the 400th homer of his career, a three-run shot to right in the fifth that trimmed a 5-1 Seattle lead down to a run.
But the Sox never could chip that final piece of the deficit away.
Tim Wakefield, on a day he had far from his best knuckleball, grinded it out and kept the Sox within striking distance. But in retrospect, that four-run Seattle second was something Wakefield and the Sox were never able to recover from.
"The second inning was the one inning I'd like to have back," said Wakefield. "Balls that weren't hit very hard got in for hits and then I couldn't stop the bleeding, made some bad pitches, allowed them to score some runs. After that, I feel like I did fairly well. I'd like to have that one inning back."
He'd probably also like to retrieve an ugly infield roller in that inning by Miguel Olivo that wound up being an RBI single.
"They scored a run on a 52-hopper to third base, so obviously it's something that's not normal, but it worked out in their favor," said Sox catcher Doug Mirabelli.
Wakefield surrendered 12 hits and five runs over seven innings, making a nice recovery after the shaky start.
Down, 4-0, after two innings, the Sox got one back quickly in the third, with Ortiz smashing a solo homer to right. Seattle offset that run in the fourth when Miguel Olivo took Wakefield deep for a solo shot, his first of the season, in the fourth.
But the Sox didn't go down lightly. Mark Bellhorn and Johnny Damon led off the fifth with singles. With two outs, Ramirez belted a three-run shot to right off Mariners starter Gil Meche to put the Sox within one.
Ramirez became the fifth-fastest player in baseball history to hit 400 homers, Only Mark McGwire, Babe Ruth, Harmon Killebrew and Jim Thome did it in less at-bats than the 5,695 it took Ramirez.
"I accomplished a lot already," Ramirez said. "This game is supposed to be fun. I'm just going out there playing my game and trying to win. I knew it was going to happen someday. I wasn't trying to put any pressure on myself."
On came Mariners closer Eddie Guardado in the ninth, and Damon started the Sox out right with a single past the hole at shortstop. Edgar Renteria popped out and Ortiz hit a grounder to third, allowing Damon to scoot to second.
Mariners manager Mike Hargrove opted to go after Ramirez with the game on the line, and the slugger nearly made him pay.
But he didn't get quite as much on that opposite field flyball as his homer earlier in the game. Ichiro provided closure for Guardado's 10th save.
New York Yankees vs Oakland Athletics 6-4
Before Sunday's game against the Oakland A's, Yankees manager Joe Torre said he didn't necessarily believe Jason Giambi when his struggling slugger told him his confidence wasn't wavering.
Torre had been there before, a talented hitter with a Most Valuable Player Award under his belt. He had experienced long hitless funks and said it was impossible not to lose some confidence.
But after baby steps in the first two games of the weekend series, Giambi took what could be a giant stride toward rediscovering his All-Star form.
He broke open a tie ballgame in the seventh inning by doubling home what proved to be the game-deciding run, and the Yankees' winning streak reached eight games with a 6-4 victory before 37,237 in McAfee Coliseum.
"I'm sure it was a big step for him," Torre said. "He's had some good at-bats. That at-bat was enormous because of the game situation."
The Yankees' record improved to 19-19, marking the first time they've been at the .500 mark since they were 4-4 on April 13.
And Giambi's theatrics seemed to somehow overshadow quite a few milestones for the Yankees on Sunday.
One was the remarkable home run binge that Yankees first baseman Tino Martinez continues to enjoy.
After the A's grabbed a 3-0 lead in the first inning off Yankees starter Randy Johnson, Martinez lined a laser of a solo shot to right field in the second inning against A's righty Dan Haren.
It was Martinez's second homer of the series and his ninth in his last 11 starts. Martinez brought a five-game homer streak into the Bay Area, took a night off in Friday's series opener, then hit one Saturday and the one Sunday.
Johnson had settled in a bit, getting through the next two frames unscathed.
Then Martinez unloaded again.
He smoked the first pitch he saw from Haren, sending a low line drive over the 330-foot sign in the right-field corner. It was Martinez's 12th homer of the year, marking his 21st career multihomer game, and his first since May 4 last year at Texas. He has hit eight homers and driven in 19 runs in his last eight games and has 10 homers in 11 starts.
"I'm feeling good at the plate, I'm getting good pitches to hit, and I'm hitting them," Martinez said. "It's pretty simple."
The A's tied the game at 4 in the bottom of the fourth on an RBI single by Mark Kotsay, and the game stayed deadlocked until the seventh, when the A's brought in left-handed reliever Ricardo Rincon.
Alex Rodriguez worked a one-out walk, and given Giambi's recent skid, it seemed to make sense when Rincon was ordered to walk Jorge Posada intentionally to get to Giambi.
Giambi didn't waste much time, drilling the first pitch down the right-field line to score A-Rod and notch his first RBI since April 23. Robinson Cano followed with a run-scoring single of his own to seal the score at 6-4.
So in the midst of a harrowing return to his old Oakland digs in which Giambi had been showered with boos, he finally got an ovation from the sizable Yankees crowd in the stands.
"The better he's doing," Martinez said, "the better off we'll be."
Meanwhile, other positive things were happening for the surging Yankees.
Tony Womack stole four bases to tie a franchise record, Cano had a career-high four hits, marking his fourth straight multihit game, and Derek Jeter went 3-for-5 with an RBI.
Johnson made history, too, lasting six innings and giving up three earned runs for his 250th career win, even though he didn't strike out a batter.
According to the Elias Sports Bureau, it was the longest start of Johnson's career without a strikeout. The last time he pitched more than three innings without fanning a batter was when he was with the Montreal Expos in 1989.
"He battled," Torre said. "Today he earned his money. He didn't have good rhythm and kept fighting and fighting. I was pleased that he was able to get a win out of it."
Johnson admitted it was a struggle and agreed with Torre.
"I think a lot of my teammates saw me battle," Johnson said. "I got picked up by them."
Mariano Rivera pitched a scoreless ninth for his sixth save and first since May 10, and it also was the 342nd of his career, which moved him past Hall of Famer Rollie Fingers for seventh on the all-time list.
And even Torre reached a milestone, winning his 1,800th career game as a manager.
Torre thanked owner George Steinbrenner for hiring him and said that the 1,800 wins mean a lot, but he quickly turned his attention back to his rapidly improving team.
"We have a lot of confidence right now," Torre said. "We have a great lineup, top to bottom."
Florida Marlins vs San Diego Padres 4-12
When the Marlins are ahead after six innings, they typically hold on for a win.
That wasn't the case Sunday, as the Padres posted 10 runs in the seventh inning and roared past the Marlins for a 12-4 win, completing the three-game sweep before 37,271 at PETCO Park.
It was the first time the Marlins lost all three in San Diego and also Florida's first three-game losing streak this season.
A.J. Burnett (3-4) carried a 4-1 lead into the seventh inning before the game spun out of control. The Marlins are now 16-2 when ahead after seven innings. When he last faced the Padres in San Diego, Burnett tossed a no-hitter on May 12, 2001.
"Pitching has been our backbone this season," said Marlins left fielder Jeff Conine, who had three hits and an RBI Sunday. "This was one of those cases where they had a bad day. More often than not, when they have a 4-1 lead in the seventh inning, we're going to win."
After rallying to a 4-1 lead thanks to a four-run sixth inning, the Marlins seemed prime to salvage the final game of the series.
Burnett was efficient through six innings, giving up only one run. But the flame-throwing right-hander got into immediate trouble in the seventh.
San Diego sent 13 to the plate in the seventh inning, and its first eight runners reached before an out was recorded. Five of the 10 runs were earned. Dave Roberts belted a three-run homer, and Brian Giles added a two-run single. The 10 runs allowed were four shy of the club record of the 14 runs surrendered in the first inning to the Red Sox on June 27, 2003, at Fenway Park.
"I had a chance to win the game," said Burnett, who ended up allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits in his first start in San Diego since his no-hitter in 2001. "I had a chance to protect a lead. My team gave me the lead, and I blew it. Bottom line.
"I won't erase that one for a while. It's on my shoulders. We had a 4-1 lead. To let them come back like that is unacceptable."
The Padres pecked away in that benchmark seventh inning, the first 10-run inning in the two-year history of PETCO Park.
Khalil Greene, who had three hits and an RBI, started the rally with a single. Pinch-hitter Mark Sweeney then walked, and after Marlins first baseman Carlos Delgado committed an error on Dave Roberts' hard grounder, the Padres had the bases loaded.
Delgado made a nice diving stop, but had to throw from his knees to second base, and the ball hit Sweeney's back.
Burnett left after walking Mark Loretta, forcing in a run. Lefty specialist Matt Perisho entered to face left-handed-hitting Ryan Klesko. Perisho quickly got ahead with two strikes but then threw four straight balls, forcing in another run.
"In my situation, you get one batter a night, and you visualize it all day long," Perisho said. "When you don't execute, it's tough to swallow."
Jim Mecir was called in, and the run parade continued.
Phil Nevin's RBI single tied the game at four, and Giles' two-run single gave the Padres the lead. Ramon Hernandez's RBI single marked the eighth straight runner to reach without an out.
"My stuff wasn't down," Mecir said. "I was trying to get the ball down in the zone, and it wasn't. My fastball wasn't really moving, and my screwball wasn't moving."
Roberts' three-run homer punctuated the 33-minute inning, which exhausted 60 Marlins' pitches.
"It was one of those ones where it just kept going on and on," Marlins center fielder Juan Pierre said. "We just couldn't stop the bleeding. You have to forget about it. If we moved the ball a little bit earlier in the game, maybe they would have gotten down a little bit. When we got the 4-1 lead, we should have kept putting pressure on them, but we didn't."
Collecting the win for San Diego was former Marlin, Rudy Seanez, who tossed 1 1/3 scoreless innings.
Held scoreless through 5 2/3 innings, the Marlins responded against Brian Lawrence for four runs on five hits in the sixth inning. The two-out rally started with Carlos Delgado's single on a 3-1 pitch. Six pitches later, the Marlins had four runs. Miguel Cabrera singled. Conine had an RBI single followed by Damion Easley's two-run double. After Alex Gonzalez's run-scoring double, the Marlins were up 4-1.
The 12 runs by the Padres marked the highest total for a Marlins' opponent this season. The Mets scored 10 runs on April 21.
"There is always sunshine after the storm," McKeon said, laughing the game off as an aberration. "We've been through this before. You think you're at the end of the barrel and you have a game like this, so you say, 'Maybe this is the end? And we'll start pounding away.'"
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5-2
There have been some bumps during the early portion of the Braves' longest road trip of the season. But halfway through, they've already seen those who created those bumps bounce back and help them establish their biggest division lead of the season.
There was plenty of reason for the Braves clubhouse to be celebratory after their 5-2 win over the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Their Jones boys had homered yet again, and they had managed to take two of three in a big series that began in heartbreaking fashion.
"We're happy to get two out of three after losing the first one," Braves manager Bobby Cox said. "It's not that easy to come back and win the series, and we accomplished that. We had a good series."
Andruw Jones and Chipper Jones both homered in the final two games to establish themselves as the most productive Braves in the series. But it was just as important for the team to see Tim Hudson, Adam LaRoche and Dan Kolb all make contributions in the finale.
While the Braves will accept having split the first six games of their 12-game road trip, they've had a chance to win every game. Hudson's struggles at Coors Field on Monday wasted a six-run contribution from his offense. Two days later, Kolb couldn't hold a one-run, ninth-inning lead. Then, when the Dodgers series opened on Friday, LaRoche's apparent game-winning grand slam was negated a half-inning later by his mental error that led to the defeat.
Yet as Sunday's events unraveled, there was Hudson limiting the Dodgers to two runs -- one earned -- in six innings, and Kolb notching his 10th save with a perfect ninth inning and second consecutive impressive performance. In between, LaRoche found time to drill his third homer of the trip and sixth of the season.
"I still can't forget about the first game," LaRoche said. "I should be able to. But it's going to take me a couple of days, because we could have had three (wins in the series)."
Still, while winning two games, the Braves managed to build a 2 1/2-game lead over the Marlins in the National League East and drop the Dodgers a half-game behind the Padres, who moved into the NL West's top spot by sweeping the Marlins this past weekend.
"Today wasn't that pretty from my standpoint," Hudson said. "But it was enough to get the job done."
Hudson had runners on base in each of his six innings and was trailing, 2-0, before Chipper Jones got the Braves offense started with a two-out, two-run homer off Scott Erickson in the sixth. One pitch earlier, Marcus Giles hit a grounder that appeared to set the stage for an inning-ending double play. But Dodgers second baseman Jeff Kent fumbled the ball while turning to throw to first base.
Andruw Jones provided the Braves their game-winning run by beginning the seventh inning with a drive into the left-field seats against Wilson Alvarez. This marked the second straight day both Joneses had homered, and the 43rd time in their careers that they had both done so in the same game. Over the years, the Braves have gone 37-6 in those games.
"When they're hot, everybody is happy," LaRoche said of the Joneses. "When your studs are going good, they're kind of setting the table for everybody else. Not only does it take the pressure off, but it makes for fun baseball."
Hudson never really found much time to enjoy himself while allowing the Dodgers nine hits in his six-inning effort. But the only earned run he allowed came when Hee-Seop Choi followed Ricky Ledee's second-inning, two-out double with an RBI single. The unearned run came with the assistance of a Rafael Furcal throwing error to begin the fourth inning.
"It was definitely a battle, that's for sure," Hudson said. "I didn't feel like myself out there. But I was able to battle through it and make some pretty good pitches when I needed to."
Ledee, who recorded a hit in each of his three at-bats against Hudson, began the sixth inning with a single. In between two walks that loaded the bases, the Braves right-hander managed to record two strikeouts. But before he could exhale, he still had to get Oscar Robles to end the inning with a harmless grounder.
"He just battled," Cox said of Hudson, who needed 109 pitches to complete his six innings. "He never gave up, not once. If anybody deserved to win that game, it was him."
While Hudson's perseverance was impressive, the efforts of the bullpen were just as important as the homers from the Jones boys. John Foster held the Dodgers scoreless for 1 1/3 innings, a season-long outing. He would have had a perfect appearance if not for Chipper Jones' error on a Kent grounder in the seventh. But the southpaw reliever struck out Ledee to end the inning and leave Kent stranded at second base.
Jorge Sosa followed an impressive Saturday performance by recording the final two outs in the eighth. That set the stage for Kolb's perfect effort, which ensured that the Dodgers wouldn't record a hit after the sixth inning. While totaling 9 2/3 innings during the series' final two games, the Braves bullpen allowed one run and four hits.
"They came in and did a great job," Hudson said of the bullpen. "They've been doing a great job for us all year. It was a great win for us today."
BALANCE MITAD MAYO:
Apuestas: 47
Cuota Media: 1.82
Aciertos: 25 (53.1%)
Cuota Media de Aciertos: 1.79
Rentabilidad: -21.6%
PROBLEMA: porcentaje de aciertos demasiado baja.
Fue mi error apostar en 4 partidos algunos días, porque es demasiado peligroso.
Es correcto apostar en 3 o 5 o 7 partidos.
Hasta que el balance es rojo, no es posible arriesgar apostando muchos partidos diariamente y esto determina un proceso lento.
Ahora, hasta que el balance no va a ser verde, voy a apostar solo en 3 partidos diariamente.
De todas formas, el problema principal es la porcentaje de aciertos y en esto tengo que trabajar para mejorar el balance.
Quedan 16 días.
Hola inzaghi, gracias por tu comento. Es interesante tu análisis, pero estos son los numeros precisos de mayo:
balance en 1 apuesta sobre New York Yankess = +71
balance en 2 apuestas sobre Chicago White Sox = -140
balance en 6 apuestas sobre Minnesota = -140
balance en 1 apuesta sobre Baltimore = -100
balance en 5 apuestas sobre Atlanta = -17
balance en 4 apuestas sobre San Diego = +225
además:
balance en 3 apuestas sobre St. Louis = +36
balance en 4 apuestas sobre Boston Red Sox = -49
y otros
parece que acierto solo apuestas sobre St. Louis, San Diego y New York Yankees :)
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