Wednesday, June 29

MLB 29.06.2005

21:05 - Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies 7-1 (HOU -1.5 @ 1.95)
02:05 - Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers 6-7 (LAA -1.5 @ 2.2)
02:10 - Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals 3-11 (STL -1.5 @ 1.83)
04:05 - Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics 2-6 (OAK -1.5 @ 2.35)
04:05 - San Francisco G. vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4-2 (ARI -1.5 @ 1.95)

21:10 - San Diego P. vs Los Angeles D. 2-4 (LAD -1.5 = 0.92€ @ 2.6)
21:10 - San Diego P. vs Los Angeles D. 2-4 (SD = 1.08 @ 2.2)

01:05 - Chicago White Sox vs Detroit T. 4-3 (DET -1.5 = 0.90€ @ 2.55)
01:05 - Chicago White Sox vs Detroit T. 4-3 (CHW = 1.1€ @ 2.1)

01:05 - Pittsburgh P. vs Washington N. 2-3 (WAS -1.5 = 0.94€ @ 2.55)
01:05 - Pittsburgh P. vs Washington N. 2-3 (PIT = 1.06€ @ 2.25)

-------------------------
pronosticos: 11
aciertos: 5 (45.4%)
inversión: 11€
ganancia: 10.83€
beneficio: -0.17€
rentabilidad: -1.5%

tot. pronosticos: 144
tot. aciertos: 69 (47.9%)
caja inicial: 50€
caja actual: 33.69€
beneficio: -16.31€
rentabilidad: -32.6%
-------------------------
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3 comments:

atman said...

fuera del blog, para mi divertimiento, he hecho dos combinadas:

ATL + MIN @ 3.03
TOR + BOS @ 2.86

29 June, 2005 16:23
atman said...

ok

TOR + BOS @ 2.86 es un acierto
y
ATL + MIN @ 3.03 no

29 June, 2005 22:04
atman said...

Wed, Jun 29, 2005

MLB Hot Lines: Wednesday`s best lines


DET beat CHW @ 1.77

Ozzie Guillen would do almost anything to keep Brandon McCarthy off the mound. With two off-days on their schedule last week, the Chicago manager had the luxury of bumping the rookie right-hander from the rotation last weekend and reserving him for emergency duty. Now McCarthy will make his third start of the season after sitting out for eight days.

McCarthy sounded relieved to get a reprieve from the pressure of starting for the Sox while Orlando Hernandez finishes up his stint on the 15-day DL.

"There`s so many good guys, it`d be kind of a slap in the face if I got thrown in there," McCarthy said. "I figured it`d be one of those worst-case scenarios."

The Sox are 1-2 in McCarthy’s starts, but the 21-year-old has struggled badly. He hasn’t yet made it beyond the sixth inning and has accumulated an ugly 8.40 ERA. He will face Detroit’s Jason Johnson, who’s coming off a rocky start as a favorite in Minnesota, but he’s much better at home where he’s led the Tigers to a 6-2 record with a 1.49 ERA.

LAA beat TEX @ 1.73

Ever since Texas purged its pitching rotation of veterans Ryan Drese and Pedro Astacio, opting to roll the dice on the unproven arms of youngsters like Ricardo Rodriguez, they’ve been sinking like a Canadian submarine. They’ve won only twice in their last 10 games and it hasn’t all been poor pitching – although a 6.97 ERA from the Rangers’ starters hasn’t exactly been helpful. The once-booming bats have been diffused and their team batting average has dipped from over .270 on the season to .223 in those last 10 games, in which they’ve averaged a measly three runs per game.

That could be a problem against the Angels, who’ve been hitting .333 over their last ten. They hung 13 on Texas in the first game of this series and, although Rodriguez hasn’t been bad in his three starts, there doesn’t seem to be much any pitcher can do against this potent lineup.

As a side note, Angels starter John Lackey has racked up more than five units in his last four starts and he’s led his team to an 11-4 record this season.

SF-ARI over 9 @ 2

San Francisco has been a bit of an anomaly when it comes totals. Their offense stinks worse than Fisherman’s Wharf in a heat wave, but the over is cashing in at an alarming rate. The over/under is 8-2 in the Giants’ last 10 games at a time when they’re only knocking in about four runs a game. But 11 runs against Arizona last night could do wonders for their confidence at the plate and fire up those smoldering bats.

They’ll probably need it with Kirk Rueter on the hill. He’s lost seven straight starts, only one of which he managed to keep under the total. And whatever’s wrong, he doesn’t seem to have it figured out yet because things have gotten worse in his three most recent starts, during which he’s given up 14 earned runs and sent two over the total, despite receiving next to nothing from the San Francisco offense in support.

CIN-STL over 9½ @ 1.91

This number seems a little low for a couple of teams with as much firepower as these two. It didn’t look like it last night with a 2-1 final, but don’t forget that both these teams have been hitting around .300 over the last couple of weeks.

But offense is not the story of this matchup. Pitching is the biggest factor that could send this one over the total.

Matt Morris will be solid for the Cards and Cincinnati should have a tough time getting much of anything past him, but look at who’s got the ball for the Reds. Ramon Ortiz has been pitching like it’s batting practice and allowing more than six runs per game. Luckily, he’s had some backup to keep him in most games, but batters have been taking advantage of him like a drunk cheerleader at a frat party. The over/under is 9-3 in his starts this season.

30 June, 2005 00:13

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